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0x3B80C66A6EF3Ea1ac20814d9E5Aa940E5337047B-1772029283814

0x3b80c6...37047b
#6105 overall · top 28.98%
Smart Score
31
Win Rate
95.8%
Total P&L
+$112
Trade Count
90
Sharpe Ratio
-4.09
Sortino Ratio
-3.48
Max Drawdown
10675.3%
ROI
1.0%
Profit Factor
8.27
Kelly Fraction
0.843
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
031.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY89.0¢18.182Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY89.9¢5Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY89.9¢5Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY88.7¢5Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY90.5¢8.4Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY90.5¢41.6Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY95.0¢17.83Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY95.0¢32.165Mar 5
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 6, 2026?BUY88.0¢5Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?BUY99.6¢100Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?BUY98.0¢10Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY94.0¢50Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY95.0¢100Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?BUY97.2¢64Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?BUY97.1¢5Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?BUY97.1¢30Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?BUY97.1¢1Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 4, 2026?BUY99.8¢150Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 4, 2026?BUY99.8¢200Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?BUY94.7¢50Mar 4

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%9%80–90%91%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.72
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.4%
Win Consistency66.7%
Profit Factor0.81
Drawdown Resilience0.66
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66
Weekly Sharpe est.0.50
Trading Activity90 trades · 8 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7,9571d profit7d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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