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0x682b5D5C7DD24c541DbEE9b7Db918f6d8bd259d8-1763576762681

0x682b5d...d259d8
#3237 overall · top 15.37%
Smart Score
45
Win Rate
25.0%
Total P&L
+$30.6K
Trade Count
730
Sharpe Ratio
-0.33
Sortino Ratio
-1.22
Max Drawdown
52.0%
ROI
28.5%
Profit Factor
5.56
Kelly Fraction
0.205
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
045.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?BUY57.0¢818.98Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?BUY57.0¢29.209Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?BUY57.0¢72.093Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?BUY57.0¢735Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?BUY14.0¢398Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY25.0¢257.49Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY25.0¢4,000Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY25.0¢28.84Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY25.0¢6.667Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY25.0¢7Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY25.0¢200Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY25.0¢500Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY6.0¢5,000Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL25.1¢1,774.45Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL25.1¢144.284Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL25.1¢81.255Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY24.1¢2,000Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL8.8¢1,460.78Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL8.8¢200Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL8.8¢811.932Feb 28

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%54%< 10%33%10–20%5%20–30%7%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing45.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.50
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.3%
Win Consistency29.0%
Profit Factor1.18
Drawdown Resilience0.95
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.95
Weekly Sharpe est.0.73
Trading Activity730 trades · 31 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$16,8597d profit24d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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