0xd203f6...78dd06

0xd203f6...78dd06
Smart Score
16
Win Rate
33.3%
Total P&L
+$45
Trade Count
31
Sharpe Ratio
-7.01
Sortino Ratio
-14.41
Max Drawdown
109835.8%
ROI
21.5%
Profit Factor
2.75
Kelly Fraction
0.212
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
015.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY10.2¢49.02Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY8.0¢62.625Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY11.0¢45.455Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL38.1¢85.12Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL10.8¢84.25Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY12.6¢39.683Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY12.6¢39.683Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY12.6¢39.683Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY11.3¢44.248Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY11.4¢43.991Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY11.1¢45.045Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY33.8¢14.779Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY33.8¢14.793Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY33.8¢14.793Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY36.6¢13.661Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY36.8¢13.587Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY37.0¢13.514Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY15.0¢7.98Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL0.2¢666.66Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.6¢666.667Mar 4
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%41%< 10%33%10–20%20–30%26%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing15.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.87
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.4%
Win Consistency33.3%
Profit Factor0.41
Drawdown Resilience0.33
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.33
Weekly Sharpe est.0.25

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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