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21A

0xbfc26f...9998a6
#8441 overall · top 40.08%
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
58.9%
Total P&L
+$11.7K
Trade Count
485
Sharpe Ratio
0.11
Sortino Ratio
0.25
Max Drawdown
1552.8%
ROI
8.4%
Profit Factor
2.17
Kelly Fraction
0.317
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL67.0¢99.99Feb 24
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL79.0¢100Feb 9
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY77.0¢78.26Jan 23
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY77.0¢21.739Jan 22
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL29.0¢691.22Jan 20
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL29.0¢5Jan 20
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY52.0¢100Jan 20
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?BUY24.0¢500Jan 10
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?BUY3.7¢68.89Jan 10
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?BUY3.7¢656.53Jan 10
Opinion FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY1.1¢3.033Jan 4
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY22.0¢696.22Jan 4
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?BUY11.0¢40Dec 15
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY9.5¢263.157Dec 10
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?SELL80.2¢125Nov 30
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?BUY64.9¢125Nov 25
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? BUY37.0¢500Nov 25
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL99.6¢300Nov 25
Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?BUY34.0¢11.42Nov 24
Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?BUY39.0¢195.78Nov 24

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%7%10–20%11%20–30%16%30–50%23%50–70%10%70–80%16%80–90%11%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.38
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.8%
Win Consistency61.1%
Profit Factor0.65
Drawdown Resilience0.53
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53
Weekly Sharpe est.0.40
Trading Activity463 trades · 104 active days
MayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$15,60043d profit61d loss
MayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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Preview data · updated daily · full equity curve & more at accrue.com/platform