a5hao-123

0x152f7e...1fe172

Smart Score

Win Rate

29.4%

Total P&L

-$30

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.13

Sortino Ratio

3041.05

Max Drawdown

1498487900000.0%

ROI

-0.5%

Profit Factor

0.22

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	SELL	11.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	SELL	88.9¢	5	Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	SELL	99.3¢	301.2	Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	BUY	99.6¢	301.205	Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.4¢	301.5	Mar 2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	301.507	Mar 2
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.1¢	302.11	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2?	SELL	63.0¢	15.62	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2?	BUY	64.0¢	15.625	Mar 2
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.3¢	302.115	Mar 1
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	99.3¢	301.81	Mar 1
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	11.6¢	5	Mar 1
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	88.5¢	5	Mar 1
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	99.4¢	301.811	Mar 1
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.8¢	300.3	Mar 1
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	99.9¢	300.3	Mar 1
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.1¢	302.41	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	20.121	Mar 1
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.2¢	302.419	Mar 1
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.9¢	303.03	Feb 28

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.62

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.3%

Win Consistency44.4%

Profit Factor0.29

Drawdown Resilience0.24

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24

Weekly Sharpe est.0.18

Trading Activity32 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$712d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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