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AmirD

0xe68046...a98788
#2280 overall · top 10.82%
Smart Score
53
Win Rate
64.5%
Total P&L
+$11.2K
Trade Count
836
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Sortino Ratio
0.30
Max Drawdown
36.7%
ROI
7.3%
Profit Factor
2.80
Kelly Fraction
0.415
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
052.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY21.0¢5,000Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?SELL92.0¢1,273.09Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?SELL88.0¢1,160.76Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?SELL88.0¢35.227Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?SELL88.0¢77.09Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY78.0¢600Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY81.0¢259.04Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY81.0¢78.947Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY81.0¢10.526Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY81.0¢52.632Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY81.0¢363.453Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY81.0¢235.38Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY27.0¢3,184.4Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY84.5¢946.19Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY27.0¢815.6Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL99.8¢3,332.53Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY65.0¢3,332.538Feb 28
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?SELL55.9¢1,000Oct 1
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?BUY39.7¢332Sep 25
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?BUY39.7¢70Sep 25

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%3%10–20%22%20–30%21%30–50%12%50–70%7%70–80%9%80–90%24%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing52.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.90
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.0%
Win Consistency66.7%
Profit Factor1.37
Drawdown Resilience1.11
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.11
Weekly Sharpe est.0.84
Trading Activity35 trades · 9 active days
MayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$1,2787d profit2d loss
MayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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