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Asphaleios

0x546244...47eed6
#3452 overall · top 16.39%
Smart Score
44
Win Rate
58.8%
Total P&L
+$11.5K
Trade Count
396
Sharpe Ratio
2.23
Sortino Ratio
73.67
Max Drawdown
87.4%
ROI
10.3%
Profit Factor
1.82
Kelly Fraction
0.266
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
043.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?BUY91.0¢813.6Mar 4
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?BUY56.0¢20Mar 4
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?BUY56.0¢54Mar 4
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?BUY55.0¢288Mar 4
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?BUY55.0¢46.37Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY89.0¢1,375.76Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY89.0¢10.364Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY89.0¢10Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY89.0¢12Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY89.0¢15Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY89.0¢15Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY89.0¢392Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY89.0¢119.87Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY89.0¢50Mar 4
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?SELL90.0¢1,224.25Mar 4
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?BUY90.0¢24.5Mar 4
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?BUY90.0¢1,199.75Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL9.1¢27,683.89Mar 4
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?BUY51.0¢22Mar 4
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?BUY51.0¢30Mar 4

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%55%50–70%31%70–80%10%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing43.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.41
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.0%
Win Consistency52.6%
Profit Factor1.14
Drawdown Resilience0.92
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.92
Weekly Sharpe est.0.70
Trading Activity396 trades · 10 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$10,8462d profit8d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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Preview data · updated daily · full equity curve & more at accrue.com/platform