berthnbt

0xbf5fa1...8b213a

Smart Score

Win Rate

73.3%

Total P&L

+$2.8K

Trade Count

264

Sharpe Ratio

1.11

Sortino Ratio

10.48

Max Drawdown

4877.2%

ROI

31.6%

Profit Factor

5.49

Kelly Fraction

0.600

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

049.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	1.8¢	130	Mar 4
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	98.3¢	130	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	97.4¢	60	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	2.7¢	60	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	110	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	3.8¢	110	Mar 4
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	98.3¢	70	Mar 4
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	1.8¢	70	Mar 4
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.0¢	110	Mar 4
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	1.1¢	110	Mar 4
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	1.1¢	140	Mar 4
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.0¢	140	Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	1.0¢	148.38	Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	1.1¢	148.385	Mar 4
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.5¢	90	Mar 4
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	1.6¢	90	Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	BUY	99.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	BUY	1.1¢	100	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	2.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	2.6¢	50	Mar 4

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing49.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.71

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.8%

Win Consistency42.7%

Profit Factor1.28

Drawdown Resilience1.03

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.03

Weekly Sharpe est.0.79

Trading Activity264 trades · 11 active days

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