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BigDiddyy

0x117da5...94156c
#1880 overall · top 8.93%
Smart Score
56
Win Rate
50.0%
Total P&L
+$179
Trade Count
19
Sharpe Ratio
3.24
Sortino Ratio
284.78
Max Drawdown
2160.0%
ROI
33.3%
Profit Factor
7.65
Kelly Fraction
0.435
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
056/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?BUY56.0¢35.714Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?BUY38.4¢52.03Mar 5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?SELL99.4¢27.02Mar 3
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?BUY75.9¢105.437Mar 1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?BUY74.0¢27.027Mar 1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?SELL20.4¢41.75Mar 1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?BUY23.9¢41.754Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY3.0¢333.333Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY4.0¢250Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY2.2¢136.364Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY2.5¢120Feb 28
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?SELL99.7¢69.03Feb 28
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?BUY72.4¢69.034Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY3.9¢128.205Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?SELL93.0¢23.8Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL93.0¢101.44Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY69.0¢101.449Feb 28
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?BUY5.0¢100Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?BUY42.0¢23.81Feb 27

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%43%< 10%10–20%7%20–30%14%30–50%14%50–70%21%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active56

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.08
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.0%
Win Consistency58.3%
Profit Factor1.46
Drawdown Resilience1.18
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.18
Weekly Sharpe est.0.90
Trading Activity19 trades · 6 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$952d profit4d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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Preview data · updated daily · full equity curve & more at accrue.com/platform