Cytokine

0x0c5d1b...c02ee3

Smart Score

Win Rate

21.9%

Total P&L

-$333

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.89

Sortino Ratio

-1.72

Max Drawdown

5134.3%

ROI

-38.8%

Profit Factor

0.17

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	BUY	49.0¢	21.469	Mar 5
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	BUY	49.0¢	20.408	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	62.0¢	13.51	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	33.5¢	29.837	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	41.0¢	13.54	Mar 2
Trump out as President before 2027?	BUY	15.0¢	33.333	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	99.8¢	20	Mar 1
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	73.0¢	27.397	Mar 1
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?	SELL	66.0¢	13.44	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	37.0¢	13.514	Mar 1
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	BUY	36.0¢	27.778	Mar 1
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	87.4¢	11.442	Mar 1
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	38.0¢	26.316	Mar 1
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	BUY	4.3¢	23.256	Mar 1
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?	BUY	74.4¢	13.446	Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	SELL	66.8¢	14.92	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	67.0¢	14.925	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	97.0¢	45.97	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	52.0¢	36.673	Jan 31
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?	SELL	5.0¢	88.25	Jan 31

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency23.1%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity38 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$1252d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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