ddsdr

0x8583d1...d9f255

Smart Score

Win Rate

74.1%

Total P&L

+$30

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.17

Sortino Ratio

-0.20

Max Drawdown

1461.1%

ROI

1.5%

Profit Factor

13.97

Kelly Fraction

0.688

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

033.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	10.0¢	10	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	38.0¢	2.632	Mar 3
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?	BUY	45.0¢	5	Feb 27
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	BUY	70.8¢	2.825	Feb 26
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?	SELL	66.0¢	20	Feb 15
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?	BUY	54.0¢	20	Feb 15
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?	SELL	93.2¢	7	Feb 11
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?	BUY	51.0¢	7	Feb 11
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?	SELL	37.0¢	7.69	Feb 10
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?	SELL	78.0¢	9.83	Feb 10
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?	BUY	13.0¢	7.692	Feb 10
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?	BUY	61.0¢	9.836	Feb 10
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?	SELL	91.0¢	21.53	Feb 2
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?	BUY	65.0¢	21.538	Feb 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 21?	BUY	31.0¢	3.226	Jan 21
Rockets vs. Lakers	BUY	98.9¢	20.222	Dec 25
Suns vs. Thunder	BUY	92.0¢	16.337	Dec 8
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	BUY	98.0¢	35.031	Nov 20
Will the price of Solana be above $190 on October 23?	BUY	28.8¢	6.944	Oct 23
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?	BUY	96.7¢	29.38	Sep 18

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing33.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.84

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.4%

Win Consistency48.1%

Profit Factor0.87

Drawdown Resilience0.70

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.70

Weekly Sharpe est.0.53

Trading Activity37 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$1504d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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