ElroyHumphr
0x598346...7605c0
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
71.4%
Total P&L
+$13
Trade Count
9
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Sortino Ratio
0.22
Max Drawdown
535.9%
ROI
84.6%
Profit Factor
689.30
Kelly Fraction
0.713
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.3/100100
Recent Trades
| Market | Side | Price | Size | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8? | BUY | 63.0¢ | 2.635 | Mar 5 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | BUY | 61.9¢ | 2.569 | Feb 9 |
| Grizzlies vs. Pelicans | BUY | 50.0¢ | 2.04 | Jan 29 |
| Warriors vs. Raptors | BUY | 45.0¢ | 4.04 | Dec 26 |
| Warriors vs. Raptors | BUY | 45.0¢ | 1.09 | Dec 26 |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | BUY | 56.0¢ | 5.13 | Dec 25 |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? | SELL | 50.0¢ | 0.21 | Oct 2 |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? | BUY | 51.0¢ | 0.216 | Oct 1 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 48.4¢ | 10.558 | Sep 28 |
Analytics Showcase
Full analytics →Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.3
Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager
Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.45
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.9%
Win Consistency71.4%
Profit Factor0.68
Drawdown Resilience0.55
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55
Weekly Sharpe est.0.42
Trading Activity6 trades · 5 active days
P&L Calendar
$90d profit5d loss
Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude
Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window
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