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erikaolsen

0x360161...0eb007
#17431 overall · top 82.76%
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
82.1%
Total P&L
-$150
Trade Count
80
Sharpe Ratio
-0.41
Sortino Ratio
-0.28
Max Drawdown
154.3%
ROI
-2.5%
Profit Factor
0.13
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.9¢70.52Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.8¢70.561Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?BUY99.8¢69.88Feb 22
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY99.8¢30.721Feb 14
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?BUY99.8¢21.483Feb 12
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?BUY99.8¢52.996Jan 30
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY96.7¢25.915Jan 19
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY93.6¢45.192Jan 12
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY99.7¢8.465Dec 30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY97.9¢12.676Dec 27
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?BUY99.2¢41.19Dec 23
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY94.0¢46.5Dec 4
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?BUY69.0¢175.681Nov 20
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?BUY99.3¢104.038Oct 26
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?BUY97.8¢136.35Sep 15
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?BUY99.3¢171.883Jul 28
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?SELL77.0¢216.33Jul 22
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?BUY75.0¢216.333Jul 16
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?BUY98.6¢172.15Jun 23
Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?SELL99.7¢169.83Jun 22

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%5%10–20%20–30%30–50%8%50–70%70–80%80–90%79%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency64.3%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity21 trades · 21 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1,1822d profit19d loss
MayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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