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FerryTayle

0x52f4d7...8d1a39
#5035 overall · top 23.90%
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
16.8%
Total P&L
+$218
Trade Count
216
Sharpe Ratio
3.51
Sortino Ratio
234.73
Max Drawdown
1006.3%
ROI
26.8%
Profit Factor
1.64
Kelly Fraction
0.065
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
035.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY3.2¢55.313Mar 5
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.6¢333.333Mar 5
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY1.7¢58.824Mar 5
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY1.8¢277.778Mar 5
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY3.3¢60.606Mar 5
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY3.2¢93.75Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY11.4¢44Mar 5
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY2.0¢251.955Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL61.7¢16.93Mar 3
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY2.1¢243.261Mar 3
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY1.4¢349.556Mar 3
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL6.0¢88Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY22.0¢22.727Mar 3
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY2.4¢204.117Mar 3
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY1.9¢263.049Mar 3
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL11.1¢45.47Mar 2
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?BUY1.5¢388.363Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETBUY6.0¢16.667Mar 2
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?BUY1.7¢235.799Mar 2
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?BUY1.7¢59.412Mar 2

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%62%< 10%13%10–20%9%20–30%11%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.93
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.9%
Win Consistency63.2%
Profit Factor0.91
Drawdown Resilience0.74
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.74
Weekly Sharpe est.0.56
Trading Activity216 trades · 12 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2783d profit9d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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