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franzferdinand

franzferdinand

0xae9a4e...117cea
#13101 overall · top 62.20%
Smart Score
10
Win Rate
52.7%
Total P&L
+$1.3K
Trade Count
1,946
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22
Sortino Ratio
-0.34
Max Drawdown
469.6%
ROI
4.6%
Profit Factor
1.33
Kelly Fraction
0.132
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
010.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY40.0¢4.075Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?BUY85.2¢1.549Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY80.0¢1.375Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY82.0¢1.354Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY87.5¢1.257Mar 5
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. North Carolina Central EaglesBUY26.0¢7.077Mar 5
Will France strike Iran by March 31?SELL86.4¢5.19Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY51.0¢4.098Mar 5
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?BUY45.0¢2.4Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY89.1¢1.212Mar 5
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?BUY45.0¢2.378Mar 5
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?BUY45.0¢4.822Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL16.0¢90.66Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL17.0¢40.8Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL17.0¢34.77Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL37.1¢10.53Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL37.2¢59Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?SELL21.8¢69.42Mar 5
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?SELL29.0¢48.98Mar 5
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?SELL9.0¢54.21Mar 5

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%10%< 10%5%10–20%5%20–30%17%30–50%20%50–70%8%70–80%12%80–90%24%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing10.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.57
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.5%
Win Consistency45.7%
Profit Factor0.27
Drawdown Resilience0.22
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22
Weekly Sharpe est.0.17
Trading Activity1,946 trades · 49 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$12,47913d profit36d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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Preview data · updated daily · full equity curve & more at accrue.com/platform