GabrielRaphael
0x699590...2f74df
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
50.0%
Total P&L
+$12
Trade Count
10
Sharpe Ratio
-0.00
Sortino Ratio
-0.00
Max Drawdown
551.1%
ROI
1.2%
Profit Factor
4.82
Kelly Fraction
0.396
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
018.1/100100
Recent Trades
| Market | Side | Price | Size | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8? | BUY | 63.0¢ | 2.841 | Mar 5 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8? | BUY | 63.0¢ | 2.587 | Mar 5 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026? | BUY | 58.0¢ | 2.241 | Feb 8 |
| Cavaliers vs. Suns | BUY | 52.0¢ | 2 | Jan 29 |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 55.0¢ | 5.1 | Dec 26 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 22? | BUY | 99.9¢ | 1,003.003 | Nov 21 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 21? | BUY | 0.2¢ | 1,005 | Nov 21 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? | SELL | 48.0¢ | 0.42 | Oct 3 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? | BUY | 49.0¢ | 0.429 | Oct 2 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 49.1¢ | 20.896 | Sep 29 |
Analytics Showcase
Full analytics →Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18.1
Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager
Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.5%
Win Consistency62.5%
Profit Factor0.47
Drawdown Resilience0.38
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38
Weekly Sharpe est.0.29
Trading Activity7 trades · 6 active days
P&L Calendar
$1,0130d profit6d loss
Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude
Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window
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