Gdavidg888

0xc692b0...84dfa6

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

+$98

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.00

Sortino Ratio

4.06

Max Drawdown

13.5%

ROI

2.1%

Profit Factor

1.50

Kelly Fraction

0.167

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

060.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	BUY	21.0¢	47.619	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	58.3¢	82.7	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	12.0¢	277.77	Mar 4
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?	BUY	5.5¢	182.636	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	24.2¢	82.706	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?	SELL	84.1¢	107.52	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	57.1¢	101.66	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?	BUY	46.5¢	107.526	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	64.0¢	31.25	Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	1.9¢	421.053	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?	BUY	68.6¢	29.155	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	76.0¢	131.612	Mar 3
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	24.0¢	125	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	41.8¢	71.718	Mar 3
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	BUY	75.0¢	40	Mar 3
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	BUY	58.0¢	86.207	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	18.0¢	277.778	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	88.0¢	413.85	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	89.0¢	112.36	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	80.4¢	224.571	Mar 2

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active60.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.31

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)54.7%

Win Consistency57.9%

Profit Factor1.56

Drawdown Resilience1.26

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.26

Weekly Sharpe est.0.96

Trading Activity66 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

$1229d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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