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jiyge

0x4c9b4b...339dc7
#12317 overall · top 58.48%
Smart Score
13
Win Rate
44.1%
Total P&L
+$919
Trade Count
616
Sharpe Ratio
0.11
Sortino Ratio
0.32
Max Drawdown
8924.7%
ROI
0.5%
Profit Factor
1.12
Kelly Fraction
0.047
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
012.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY62.0¢1,129.032Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY15.7¢1,908.736Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY71.3¢2,803.801Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY54.0¢4,000Mar 5
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?BUY22.0¢2,272.727Mar 2
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?SELL58.0¢6,514.54Mar 1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?SELL75.0¢2,514.36Mar 1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?BUY81.7¢1,115.479Mar 1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?SELL70.1¢1,300Mar 1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?BUY73.8¢1,347.358Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY28.0¢178.571Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY35.0¢285.714Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?BUY10.0¢1,000Feb 26
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?BUY81.1¢2,467.006Feb 26
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?SELL99.0¢109.94Feb 25
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?SELL99.0¢12Feb 25
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?SELL99.0¢0.19Feb 25
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?SELL99.0¢34.22Feb 25
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?SELL99.0¢1.1Feb 25
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?SELL99.0¢914.25Feb 25

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%19%< 10%7%10–20%6%20–30%35%30–50%14%50–70%70–80%7%80–90%9%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing12.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.71
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.7%
Win Consistency64.2%
Profit Factor0.34
Drawdown Resilience0.27
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.27
Weekly Sharpe est.0.21
Trading Activity417 trades · 57 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$20,81519d profit37d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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