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LuciferVIP

LuciferVIP

0xf3d57a...c12413
#16250 overall · top 77.15%
Smart Score
2
Win Rate
23.1%
Total P&L
-$304
Trade Count
359
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Sortino Ratio
28.05
Max Drawdown
680.3%
ROI
-18.7%
Profit Factor
0.27
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
02.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY76.0¢6.579Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY39.0¢12.821Mar 3
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY43.0¢6.977Mar 1
US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY76.0¢6.579Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL79.0¢22.22Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY66.9¢7.47Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY45.0¢22.222Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?SELL69.0¢30.43Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?BUY44.0¢75.795Feb 20
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?BUY44.0¢11.364Jan 29
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY21.0¢4.762Jan 23
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY21.0¢19.048Jan 23
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY47.0¢10.638Jan 23
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY77.0¢12.987Jan 22
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? SELL0.9¢51.23Jan 20
Nothing Ever Happens: JanuarySELL54.0¢5Jan 15
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?BUY16.0¢25Jan 14
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?SELL5.0¢50Jan 13
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY47.0¢15Jan 12
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?BUY9.0¢50Jan 12

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%25%< 10%20%10–20%16%20–30%17%30–50%9%50–70%6%70–80%5%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing2.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.12
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.0%
Win Consistency35.0%
Profit Factor0.06
Drawdown Resilience0.05
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.05
Weekly Sharpe est.0.04
Trading Activity315 trades · 73 active days
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P&L Calendar
$41924d profit48d loss
MayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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