LukasWeber

0x34e852...734495@DieuTuanLe49192

Smart Score

Win Rate

35.7%

Total P&L

-$6

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.04

Sortino Ratio

381.87

Max Drawdown

626.5%

ROI

-4.9%

Profit Factor

0.92

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	20	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9AM ET	BUY	51.0¢	19.608	Feb 17
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9AM ET	BUY	51.0¢	9.804	Feb 16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9AM ET	BUY	52.0¢	76.923	Feb 15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9AM ET	BUY	52.0¢	38.462	Feb 13
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9AM ET	BUY	22.2¢	63.075	Feb 11
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	BUY	32.0¢	3.125	Feb 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4AM ET	BUY	0.1¢	3,000	Feb 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5AM ET	BUY	4.0¢	250	Feb 1
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	16.0¢	18.75	Jan 30
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	33.0¢	9.091	Jan 30
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	18.0¢	16.667	Jan 30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	0.8¢	250	Jan 30
US government shutdown Saturday?	BUY	14.0¢	28.571	Jan 30

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.09

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.0%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.51

Drawdown Resilience0.42

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42

Weekly Sharpe est.0.32

Trading Activity14 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$1280d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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