Lysren

0x179b8e...454398

Smart Score

Win Rate

86.4%

Total P&L

-$10.4K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.39

Sortino Ratio

0.92

Max Drawdown

335.8%

ROI

-8.4%

Profit Factor

-0.02

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	60.06	Dec 25
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	BUY	45.0¢	15	Dec 25
Saints vs. Dolphins	BUY	31.0¢	7	Nov 30
Rockets vs. Jazz	BUY	85.0¢	8.74	Nov 30
Will the US add more than 125k jobs in September?	BUY	97.6¢	4.611	Oct 9
Will the New Jersey Governor election have the largest Democratic margin of victory?	BUY	96.9¢	5.986	Oct 9
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?	BUY	99.6¢	2.108	Oct 9
Solana dip to 170 September 1–7?	BUY	97.8¢	3.272	Sep 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?	BUY	98.7¢	4.762	Sep 4
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in July?	BUY	98.9¢	1.011	Aug 10
Will the price of Solana be less than $150 on August 11?	BUY	99.9¢	3.003	Aug 10
Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?	BUY	99.6¢	3.815	Jul 24
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?	BUY	97.7¢	3.992	Jul 24
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?	BUY	92.4¢	2.056	Jul 9
Will Nuno Mendes win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?	BUY	98.6¢	4.158	Jul 9
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	BUY	99.7¢	4.513	Jun 30
Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?	BUY	99.8¢	4.81	Jun 21
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be less than 2%?	BUY	99.5¢	5.025	Jun 21
Will MOUZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?	BUY	87.9¢	4.551	Jun 21
Will Richard Carapaz win the Tour de France 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	6.106	Jun 15

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.56

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.3%

Win Consistency86.4%

Profit Factor0.27

Drawdown Resilience0.21

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.21

Weekly Sharpe est.0.16

Trading Activity16 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$1190d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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