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Mantal

Mantal

0xda08e0...d30e21
#4192 overall · top 19.90%
Smart Score
39
Win Rate
64.3%
Total P&L
+$210
Trade Count
137
Sharpe Ratio
0.60
Sortino Ratio
2.10
Max Drawdown
101.8%
ROI
16.0%
Profit Factor
3.69
Kelly Fraction
0.469
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
038.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL6.0¢16.44Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY7.0¢16.44Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL7.0¢22.22Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY18.0¢22.222Mar 5
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL70.0¢8.36Mar 4
Will "Most Advanced" or "Most Powerful" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL50.5¢13.33Mar 4
Will "Performance" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL30.1¢18.37Mar 4
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL60.0¢244.7Mar 4
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL41.0¢322.08Mar 4
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY40.0¢25Mar 4
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY22.0¢59.156Mar 4
Will Bill Clinton say "Silence" during his Epstein testimony?SELL98.8¢5Mar 4
Will Bill Clinton say "Silence" during his Epstein testimony?BUY99.9¢5Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?SELL23.3¢10.05Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL28.0¢10.34Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY29.0¢10.345Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?BUY19.9¢10.05Mar 4
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY14.1¢89.02Mar 4
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY23.9¢8.368Mar 3
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY11.2¢44.817Mar 3

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%14%10–20%13%20–30%29%30–50%7%50–70%5%70–80%7%80–90%19%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing38.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.14
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.4%
Win Consistency50.7%
Profit Factor1.01
Drawdown Resilience0.82
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.82
Weekly Sharpe est.0.62
Trading Activity137 trades · 31 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$899d profit21d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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