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MateoVargas

0x8e5a01...29f42a@nhung_phuo32152
#2219 overall · top 10.54%
Smart Score
53
Win Rate
64.7%
Total P&L
+$97
Trade Count
19
Sharpe Ratio
1.18
Sortino Ratio
11.47
Max Drawdown
39.7%
ROI
22.6%
Profit Factor
1.56
Kelly Fraction
0.233
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
053.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1AM ETBUY49.0¢40.816Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9AM ETBUY51.0¢19.608Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9AM ETBUY52.8¢151.436Feb 19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9AM ETBUY52.7¢151.796Feb 17
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9AM ETBUY52.0¢98.077Feb 16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9AM ETBUY56.0¢71.429Feb 15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9AM ETBUY54.0¢37.037Feb 13
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9AM ETBUY51.0¢39.216Feb 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9AM ETBUY51.0¢39.216Feb 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9AM ETBUY45.1¢110.935Feb 10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9AM ETBUY44.0¢10Feb 10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETBUY49.0¢6.122Feb 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY61.0¢4.918Feb 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY70.0¢4.286Jan 31
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY23.0¢21.739Jan 28
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY8.0¢37.5Jan 28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY88.0¢7.955Jan 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETBUY51.0¢9.804Jan 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETBUY19.0¢26.316Jan 26

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%5%10–20%5%20–30%21%30–50%58%50–70%70–80%5%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing53.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.93
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.5%
Win Consistency47.1%
Profit Factor1.39
Drawdown Resilience1.12
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.12
Weekly Sharpe est.0.85
Trading Activity19 trades · 13 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4290d profit13d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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