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-nothingburger-

-nothingburger-

0x6245ca...e9d3c0
#4626 overall · top 21.96%
Smart Score
37
Win Rate
66.3%
Total P&L
+$64.5K
Trade Count
1,000
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Sortino Ratio
0.59
Max Drawdown
148.0%
ROI
30.7%
Profit Factor
13.30
Kelly Fraction
0.613
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
036.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?SELL0.2¢109.2Dec 31
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?BUY93.7¢5.432Dec 20
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?BUY96.7¢5.098Dec 15
Hailey Bieber pregnant in 2025?SELL98.6¢5Dec 13
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY73.3¢6.821Dec 11
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL98.5¢206.18Dec 6
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL98.6¢272.3Dec 6
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL98.2¢407.21Dec 6
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL98.5¢62Dec 3
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?SELL97.8¢544.51Dec 3
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?SELL98.2¢233.06Dec 2
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL97.5¢200Dec 1
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?SELL97.0¢240Nov 25
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY97.0¢206.186Nov 24
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY95.6¢407.218Nov 24
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY95.7¢534.3Nov 24
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY77.0¢330Nov 24
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY41.4¢317.59Nov 24
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-23?BUY53.0¢229.981Nov 23
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?SELL97.3¢125.27Nov 23

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%26%< 10%10–20%20–30%6%30–50%11%50–70%8%70–80%15%80–90%32%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing36.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.02
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.4%
Win Consistency61.0%
Profit Factor0.95
Drawdown Resilience0.77
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.77
Weekly Sharpe est.0.59
Trading Activity504 trades · 112 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$2,15271d profit37d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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