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Occidentaliste

Occidentaliste

0x499290...8e9cd4
#12211 overall · top 57.97%
Smart Score
13
Win Rate
56.5%
Total P&L
-$3.6K
Trade Count
789
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Sortino Ratio
0.23
Max Drawdown
87.8%
ROI
-4.4%
Profit Factor
0.76
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
013.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?BUY89.0¢50Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?BUY65.0¢50Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY37.0¢228.5Mar 5
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?BUY97.2¢1,029.267Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?BUY68.0¢12.53Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?BUY68.0¢137.469Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?BUY63.0¢61.96Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?BUY63.0¢2.73Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY37.0¢21.5Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?BUY63.0¢54.054Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?BUY63.0¢31.25Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?BUY87.1¢229.659Mar 5
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?SELL70.0¢150Mar 5
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?SELL19.0¢0.33Mar 4
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?SELL19.0¢151Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?BUY84.0¢30.07Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?BUY84.0¢52.574Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?BUY84.0¢18.75Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?BUY84.0¢12.5Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?BUY84.0¢1.1Mar 4

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%8%10–20%12%20–30%19%30–50%33%50–70%9%70–80%11%80–90%3%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing13.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.73
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.0%
Win Consistency52.5%
Profit Factor0.34
Drawdown Resilience0.28
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.28
Weekly Sharpe est.0.21
Trading Activity789 trades · 56 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$11,61123d profit33d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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