oopsiepoopsie

0x86e218...5a2f3e

#14887 overall · top 70.68%

Smart Score

Win Rate

49.2%

Total P&L

-$1.2K

Trade Count

2,156

Sharpe Ratio

-0.22

Sortino Ratio

-0.38

Max Drawdown

9674.2%

ROI

-3.8%

Profit Factor

0.52

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	55.0¢	46.85	Mar 5
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?	BUY	49.4¢	33.074	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	61.6¢	26.526	Mar 5
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?	BUY	15.0¢	142.867	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	60.0¢	46.85	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	69.2¢	26.05	Mar 4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	BUY	12.8¢	145.99	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	97.2¢	42.82	Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	SELL	20.0¢	88.06	Mar 4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	SELL	17.5¢	70.47	Mar 4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	BUY	21.0¢	70.476	Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	SELL	8.0¢	234.81	Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	BUY	22.4¢	88.063	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	75.6¢	26.058	Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	BUY	11.0¢	234.818	Mar 4
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?	SELL	50.8¢	32.03	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	78.0¢	35.07	Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	65.0¢	45.338	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	84.0¢	35.079	Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	SELL	21.0¢	169.26	Mar 4

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.30

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.0%

Win Consistency43.9%

Profit Factor0.14

Drawdown Resilience0.12

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.12

Weekly Sharpe est.0.09

Trading Activity139 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$6121d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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