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Paeniscus.

Paeniscus.

0x111eba...ef3753
#2653 overall · top 12.60%
Smart Score
50
Win Rate
66.7%
Total P&L
+$4.3K
Trade Count
306
Sharpe Ratio
0.50
Sortino Ratio
0.36
Max Drawdown
32.1%
ROI
2.5%
Profit Factor
2.17
Kelly Fraction
0.360
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
049.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Republican Party win the CA-20 House seat?BUY90.0¢1,500Feb 24
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-20 House seat?BUY90.0¢1,812.07Feb 24
Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?BUY90.0¢979.27Feb 20
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-07 House seat?BUY90.0¢861Feb 20
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-03 House seat?BUY90.0¢231.3Feb 20
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-05 House seat?BUY89.0¢440Feb 20
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?BUY88.0¢826Feb 20
Will the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat?BUY90.0¢887Feb 20
Will the Republican Party win the MS-03 House seat?BUY90.0¢1,268Feb 20
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-24 House seat?BUY89.7¢391Feb 18
Will the Republican Party win the FL-24 House seat?BUY90.0¢235Feb 18
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY85.8¢386Feb 18
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY86.4¢298.7Feb 18
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?BUY87.0¢556.08Feb 17
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-20 House seat?BUY88.0¢330Feb 16
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?BUY88.0¢1,233.32Feb 16
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?BUY88.0¢851.32Feb 16
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?BUY85.2¢648.07Feb 16
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?BUY85.6¢439.75Feb 16
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?BUY94.5¢174Feb 11

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%24%80–90%76%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing49.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.74
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.4%
Win Consistency78.0%
Profit Factor1.30
Drawdown Resilience1.05
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.05
Weekly Sharpe est.0.80
Trading Activity270 trades · 77 active days
MayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$95,77911d profit65d loss
MayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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Preview data · updated daily · full equity curve & more at accrue.com/platform