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rafb

0x99fe40...765705
#12060 overall · top 57.26%
Smart Score
14
Win Rate
86.2%
Total P&L
-$2
Trade Count
376
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11
Sortino Ratio
-0.07
Max Drawdown
214.7%
ROI
-0.0%
Profit Factor
0.97
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
013.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.9¢5.77Mar 5
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?BUY96.3¢5Mar 5
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?BUY98.2¢3.97Mar 5
Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31?BUY97.3¢5Mar 5
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?BUY98.6¢5Mar 4
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?BUY98.6¢5Mar 4
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?BUY94.2¢5Mar 4
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?BUY98.6¢5Mar 4
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?BUY94.2¢5Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?BUY98.2¢5Mar 4
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?BUY94.2¢5Mar 4
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionBUY98.0¢5Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?SELL99.2¢0.04Mar 4
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?BUY94.2¢5Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY99.5¢5Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY99.6¢5Mar 4
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?BUY94.2¢5Mar 4
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?SELL98.4¢0.02Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?SELL99.3¢0.11Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY98.0¢5Mar 4

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%93%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing13.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.75
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.5%
Win Consistency74.6%
Profit Factor0.36
Drawdown Resilience0.29
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29
Weekly Sharpe est.0.22
Trading Activity271 trades · 10 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1,2730d profit10d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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