sirmisterk

0xa6b8d9...a44bdf

Smart Score

Win Rate

37.2%

Total P&L

+$880

Trade Count

4,000

Sharpe Ratio

5.27

Sortino Ratio

77.65

Max Drawdown

11.5%

ROI

15.2%

Profit Factor

4.09

Kelly Fraction

0.281

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

077.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	SELL	2.9¢	33.49	Mar 4
Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos	SELL	14.2¢	10.1	Mar 4
Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos	BUY	11.8¢	1.03	Mar 4
Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos	BUY	12.1¢	1.138	Mar 4
Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos	BUY	12.1¢	7.85	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on March 5?	BUY	0.2¢	22.5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on March 5?	BUY	0.4¢	16.47	Mar 4
Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos	BUY	12.1¢	1.138	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?	SELL	1.9¢	1.85	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?	SELL	3.8¢	4.77	Mar 4
Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos	BUY	11.8¢	1.12	Mar 4
Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos	SELL	7.9¢	8.63	Mar 4
Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos	SELL	7.9¢	8.63	Mar 4
Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos	BUY	4.3¢	17.26	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 5?	SELL	3.0¢	22.5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on March 5?	BUY	0.4¢	6.024	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 5?	SELL	3.5¢	2.65	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 5?	SELL	3.9¢	29.487	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 5?	SELL	3.9¢	50	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 5?	SELL	3.9¢	80	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro77.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.27

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)70.7%

Win Consistency59.8%

Profit Factor2.02

Drawdown Resilience1.63

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.63

Weekly Sharpe est.1.24

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