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0xef6d2e...b09bd2
#3857 overall · top 18.31%
Smart Score
41
Win Rate
53.8%
Total P&L
+$12.2K
Trade Count
998
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Sortino Ratio
0.28
Max Drawdown
31.5%
ROI
7.3%
Profit Factor
1.31
Kelly Fraction
0.129
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
041/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?SELL50.8¢408.7Nov 16
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?SELL0.2¢527.73Nov 14
Fannie Mae IPO in 2025?SELL93.2¢114.45Nov 11
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?SELL3.0¢1,512.53Nov 4
Fannie Mae IPO in 2025?SELL92.7¢378Nov 1
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY93.5¢456.556Nov 1
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?BUY47.0¢666.74Oct 30
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?BUY53.0¢719.792Oct 29
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY88.2¢1,200Oct 29
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?BUY51.7¢408.7Oct 28
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?BUY39.8¢126Oct 25
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?BUY40.4¢527.73Oct 25
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?SELL0.2¢221.15Oct 25
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?SELL13.7¢707.31Oct 24
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?SELL59.0¢2,000Oct 23
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?SELL26.0¢707.31Oct 21
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?SELL46.0¢129.47Oct 21
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?BUY36.0¢300Oct 19
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?BUY35.6¢200Oct 19
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?BUY84.0¢200.01Oct 19

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%8%10–20%14%20–30%29%30–50%41%50–70%3%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing41

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.25
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)37.3%
Win Consistency54.5%
Profit Factor1.07
Drawdown Resilience0.86
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.86
Weekly Sharpe est.0.66
Trading Activity199 trades · 59 active days
MayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$8,78524d profit35d loss
MayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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Preview data · updated daily · full equity curve & more at accrue.com/platform