Tommy91

0xcc00d4...4d0115

Smart Score

Win Rate

31.0%

Total P&L

-$939

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.06

Sortino Ratio

-0.27

Max Drawdown

3434.8%

ROI

-13.5%

Profit Factor

0.42

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	SELL	9.9¢	736.19	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	BUY	18.4¢	271.739	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	BUY	18.4¢	271.868	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	23.0¢	217.391	Mar 2
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	BUY	14.8¢	676.221	Mar 2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	31.8¢	157.184	Mar 2
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	BUY	17.0¢	588.235	Mar 2
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	BUY	6.0¢	533.333	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	93.0¢	777.69	Feb 28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	SELL	15.0¢	1,053.42	Feb 26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	BUY	14.0¢	1,053.429	Feb 18
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?	BUY	1.7¢	294.118	Feb 18
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?	SELL	97.6¢	58	Jan 31
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?	SELL	87.0¢	100	Jan 31
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?	BUY	76.0¢	28	Jan 25
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?	BUY	75.0¢	30	Jan 25
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?	BUY	57.0¢	100	Jan 25
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	769.23	Jan 22
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	BUY	6.2¢	210.806	Jan 16
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	BUY	5.9¢	848.018	Jan 16

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency27.9%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity51 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,7356d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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