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tsel

tsel

0x6c8c26...2247c0
#3762 overall · top 17.86%
Smart Score
42
Win Rate
53.7%
Total P&L
+$691
Trade Count
941
Sharpe Ratio
0.80
Sortino Ratio
18.20
Max Drawdown
3449.3%
ROI
9.4%
Profit Factor
3.86
Kelly Fraction
0.398
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
041.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY60.0¢5Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY58.0¢5Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY54.0¢5Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY60.9¢5Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY60.9¢5Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL22.0¢8.34Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?SELL38.0¢6.27Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY24.0¢8.34Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?SELL25.0¢4.37Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY74.0¢5Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY74.0¢5Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY18.0¢11.12Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?SELL40.0¢1.25Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?SELL40.0¢8.77Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL55.0¢5.72Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?SELL16.1¢11.74Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY17.0¢11.74Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY35.0¢5.72Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY31.0¢6.46Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY28.0¢3.56Mar 4

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%3%< 10%7%10–20%9%20–30%23%30–50%33%50–70%15%70–80%7%80–90%3%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing41.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.29
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.0%
Win Consistency38.9%
Profit Factor1.08
Drawdown Resilience0.88
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.88
Weekly Sharpe est.0.67
Trading Activity941 trades · 33 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$3389d profit24d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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