vxi

0x3d07b8...931b92

Smart Score

Win Rate

52.4%

Total P&L

+$37

Trade Count

288

Sharpe Ratio

0.05

Sortino Ratio

0.19

Max Drawdown

3825.0%

ROI

7.9%

Profit Factor

1.22

Kelly Fraction

0.096

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	BUY	69.0¢	2.464	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	BUY	62.0¢	2.065	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	BUY	54.0¢	2.333	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	BUY	56.9¢	2.443	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	BUY	20.0¢	5.7	Mar 5
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	BUY	8.0¢	14.75	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	BUY	40.0¢	3.075	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	10.9¢	11.651	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	BUY	5.6¢	23.571	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	15.222	Mar 5
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?	BUY	3.6¢	39.444	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	50.0¢	2.94	Mar 4
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?	BUY	6.2¢	24.516	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	3.3¢	47	Mar 4
US x China Military clash before 2027?	BUY	8.0¢	15.125	Mar 4
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	BUY	17.0¢	7.294	Mar 4
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?	BUY	1.1¢	150.022	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	BUY	58.9¢	3.226	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	BUY	63.9¢	3.521	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	BUY	73.0¢	3.082	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.49

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.2%

Win Consistency29.1%

Profit Factor0.23

Drawdown Resilience0.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

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