Warrior21

0xa74425...ff3155

#4503 overall · top 21.38%

Smart Score

Win Rate

88.4%

Total P&L

+$6

Trade Count

123

Sharpe Ratio

0.26

Sortino Ratio

0.49

Max Drawdown

865.9%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

4.59

Kelly Fraction

0.691

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

037.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	94.5¢	4.931	Mar 5
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	41.9¢	11.25	Feb 27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	43.8¢	11.256	Feb 20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	71.9¢	3.7	Feb 18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	76.3¢	3.709	Feb 11
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	68.0¢	5.84	Feb 3
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	BUY	67.4¢	5.846	Jan 27
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.3¢	8.64	Jan 23
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	95.5¢	8.649	Jan 16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	SELL	94.9¢	6.24	Jan 13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	96.9¢	6.244	Jan 6
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	SELL	98.2¢	1.37	Dec 26
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	BUY	96.5¢	1.378	Dec 19
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	BUY	98.3¢	7.243	Dec 12
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	SELL	94.9¢	5.69	Dec 8
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	BUY	89.4¢	5.694	Dec 1
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	SELL	94.9¢	6.99	Nov 24
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	BUY	96.4¢	6.992	Nov 17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	SELL	97.6¢	7.64	Nov 12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	BUY	97.3¢	7.646	Nov 5

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing37.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.05

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.9%

Win Consistency66.7%

Profit Factor0.97

Drawdown Resilience0.78

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.78

Weekly Sharpe est.0.60

Trading Activity42 trades · 41 active days

P&L Calendar

$3418d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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