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WilliamLopez473

0x51ce23...56f670
#2140 overall · top 10.16%
Smart Score
54
Win Rate
18.2%
Total P&L
+$161
Trade Count
19
Sharpe Ratio
1.22
Sortino Ratio
3.70
Max Drawdown
1.5%
ROI
42.3%
Profit Factor
21.91
Kelly Fraction
0.173
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
054/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY5.5¢21.96Mar 5
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL97.0¢8.91Mar 4
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY97.2¢8.91Feb 28
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢28.55Feb 27
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.1¢28.55Feb 25
Macron out by June 30, 2026?SELL95.7¢12Feb 24
Macron out by June 30, 2026?BUY95.9¢12Feb 22
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.2¢284.65Feb 21
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.4¢284.65Feb 17
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.1¢599Feb 17
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2¢599Feb 14
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL99.5¢16.65Feb 14
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY99.7¢16.65Feb 10
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?SELL99.8¢23.65Feb 9
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?BUY99.9¢23.65Feb 6
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL99.7¢12.09Feb 5
76ers vs. WarriorsBUY54.0¢11.77Feb 3
Big Game: Coin TossBUY50.1¢338.43Feb 2
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY99.8¢12.09Feb 2

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%27%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%18%50–70%70–80%80–90%55%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing54

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.97
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)49.1%
Win Consistency18.2%
Profit Factor1.40
Drawdown Resilience1.13
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.13
Weekly Sharpe est.0.86
Trading Activity19 trades · 17 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1797d profit10d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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