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williampon

0xaf082e...139853
#2361 overall · top 11.21%
Smart Score
52
Win Rate
18.2%
Total P&L
-$3
Trade Count
20
Sharpe Ratio
5.80
Sortino Ratio
64.67
Max Drawdown
39.8%
ROI
-4.7%
Profit Factor
0.42
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
052.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETSELL47.0¢3.68Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETBUY26.9¢3.717Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETSELL66.1¢13.42Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETBUY50.9¢13.635Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETSELL78.1¢8.95Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETBUY64.9¢9.075Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETSELL73.0¢8.14Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETBUY53.9¢8.275Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETBUY4.0¢25Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or below on March 5?SELL0.1¢282.95Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?SELL28.0¢9.09Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?SELL15.0¢17.59Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETBUY62.0¢6.984Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 5?SELL2.8¢84.58Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY11.4¢17.597Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 5?BUY2.4¢84.583Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or below on March 5?BUY0.7¢282.95Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY22.0¢9.091Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?BUY29.2¢6.433Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY12.9¢8.33Mar 4

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%25%< 10%17%10–20%25%20–30%30–50%33%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing52.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.87
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)47.5%
Win Consistency41.7%
Profit Factor1.36
Drawdown Resilience1.10
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.10
Weekly Sharpe est.0.84

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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