x0Paulie

0x42a0c6...563762

Smart Score

Win Rate

35.6%

Total P&L

+$1.1K

Trade Count

2,826

Sharpe Ratio

0.46

Sortino Ratio

4.39

Max Drawdown

148.3%

ROI

2.5%

Profit Factor

1.23

Kelly Fraction

0.066

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	79.7¢	125.526	Mar 5
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 3-9?	SELL	1.4¢	30.07	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?	SELL	25.0¢	49.47	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?	SELL	25.0¢	0.53	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?	SELL	25.0¢	50	Mar 5
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?	BUY	96.0¢	2.85	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?	SELL	11.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	SELL	43.1¢	71.53	Mar 4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	64.0¢	20	Mar 4
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	BUY	45.4¢	15	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?	BUY	12.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?	BUY	16.0¢	150	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	BUY	62.0¢	14.54	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	85.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	66.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	75.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ET	SELL	98.5¢	60	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ET	BUY	44.0¢	60	Mar 4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	58.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?	BUY	60.0¢	150	Mar 3

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.35

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.3%

Win Consistency47.3%

Profit Factor0.64

Drawdown Resilience0.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity2,826 trades · 155 active days

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