xcdf

0x67c90f...b9aa07

Smart Score

Win Rate

95.8%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.78

Sortino Ratio

8.02

Max Drawdown

20.0%

ROI

0.6%

Profit Factor

1470.97

Kelly Fraction

0.958

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

076/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	5.08	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	BUY	99.7¢	5.075	Feb 8
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?	BUY	99.6¢	5.08	Jan 8
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?	BUY	99.8¢	5.07	Dec 5
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?	BUY	99.9¢	5.065	Nov 28
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?	BUY	98.7¢	5.127	Oct 20
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?	BUY	99.5¢	5.085	Sep 25
Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in July?	BUY	99.6¢	87.811	Jul 10
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?	BUY	99.1¢	54.894	Jun 13
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?	BUY	99.9¢	42.082	May 29
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?	BUY	99.6¢	64.438	Apr 28
Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April?	BUY	99.9¢	64.614	Apr 21
Avail airdrop in Q1 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	5.615	Mar 26
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.2¢	5.393	Mar 17
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?	BUY	99.7¢	20.17	Mar 11
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?	BUY	98.4¢	30.173	Mar 11
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	48.475	Feb 18
Will Ethereum hit $6000 by February 28 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	49.449	Feb 13
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by January 31, 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	6.893	Jan 26
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?	BUY	98.8¢	6.842	Jan 26

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro76

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.18

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)69.2%

Win Consistency79.2%

Profit Factor1.98

Drawdown Resilience1.60

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.60

Weekly Sharpe est.1.22

Trading Activity8 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$1230d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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