XDBTIREP

0x0bf78e...af3afe

Smart Score

Win Rate

10.0%

Total P&L

-$14

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-8.90

Sortino Ratio

-9.94

Max Drawdown

708.2%

ROI

-7.6%

Profit Factor

0.04

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?	SELL	2.8¢	104.8	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	64.1¢	35.79	Mar 5
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	SELL	9.0¢	113.81	Mar 5
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 8)	BUY	0.2¢	450.448	Mar 4
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 5?	BUY	8.0¢	125	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	53.1¢	27.86	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	11.9¢	50.25	Mar 4
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	4.0¢	123.953	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	45.1¢	21.21	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	SELL	0.3¢	3,333.33	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	BUY	0.3¢	2,666.667	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	BUY	0.3¢	666.667	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	58.9¢	84.861	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	2.5¢	160	Mar 4
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	13.3¢	75.357	Mar 4
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?	BUY	3.8¢	104.8	Mar 4
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	13.0¢	38.462	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	BUY	4.6¢	260.87	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency30.0%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

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