yourFavoriteMarket

0x1ada2a...68e40e

Smart Score

Win Rate

41.9%

Total P&L

+$11

Trade Count

216

Sharpe Ratio

0.29

Sortino Ratio

0.95

Max Drawdown

352.4%

ROI

2.5%

Profit Factor

1.23

Kelly Fraction

0.078

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	76.0¢	1.316	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	84.1¢	1.189	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	BUY	55.0¢	1.818	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	12.0¢	8.333	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	11.0¢	9.091	Mar 3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?	BUY	36.0¢	2.778	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	35.0¢	3.22	Mar 2
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	SELL	49.0¢	2.77	Mar 2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	SELL	63.0¢	1.66	Mar 2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?	BUY	71.0¢	1.408	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	18.0¢	7.4	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	8.7¢	12.19	Mar 2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	60.0¢	1.667	Mar 2
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	BUY	15.0¢	6.667	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	8.2¢	12.195	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	13.5¢	7.407	Mar 1
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	30.0¢	5.49	Mar 1
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	18.2¢	5.495	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	SELL	95.4¢	10	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	93.7¢	4.16	Feb 28

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.86

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.3%

Win Consistency33.1%

Profit Factor0.41

Drawdown Resilience0.33

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.33

Weekly Sharpe est.0.25

Trading Activity216 trades · 28 active days

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