uncategorized
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Markets
6
Total Volume
$237K
24h Volume
$5K
Liquidity
$21K
Comments
11
Markets (6)
resolved
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?
$95K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
active
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?
$62K vol · $7K liq
19.8%
-0.2¢
active
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?
$23K vol · $7K liq
1.0%
-0.1¢
active
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 5.0% by March 31?
$21K vol · $5K liq
0.7%
-0.2¢
resolved
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.3% by March 31?
$19K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
+13.0¢
active
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.8% by March 31?
$18K vol · $3K liq
0.8%
-0.3¢