technologyai

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on a listed country's soil or any official embassy or consulate of a listed country on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact a listed country's ground territory or any official embassy or consulate of that country (e.g., if a weapons depot on a listed country soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on a listed country's territory or cause damage. Strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted as Israel. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.

Markets
38
Total Volume
$3.5M
24h Volume
$400K
Liquidity
$189K

Markets (38)

active

Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?

$1.3M vol · $28K liq
1.7%
active

Will Iran strike Turkey in March?

$505K vol · $21K liq
1.4%
active

Will Iran strike Syria in March?

$303K vol · $23K liq
2.8%
Polandactive

Will Iran strike Poland by March 31?

$281K vol · $5K liq
0.3%
resolved

Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia in March?

$153K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
Indiaactive

Will Iran strike India in March?

$118K vol · $5K liq
1.1%
resolved

Will Iran strike Oman in March?

$109K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
active

Will Iran strike Yemen in March?

$95K vol · $10K liq
1.3%
Spainactive

Will Iran strike Spain by March 31?

$88K vol · $4K liq
0.1%
active

Will Iran strike Afghanistan in March?

$83K vol · $9K liq
0.6%
resolved

Will Iran strike Qatar in March?

$76K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
active

Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?

$61K vol · $14K liq
1.4%
Omanactive

Will Iran strike Oman again in March?

$54K vol · $8K liq
12.5%
UKactive

Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by March 31?

$50K vol · $10K liq
0.5%
UAEactive

Will Iran strike UAE again in March?

$49K vol · $3K liq
62.6%
Bahrainactive

Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?

$43K vol · $10K liq
96.4%
Iraqactive

Will Iran strike Iraq again in March?

$35K vol · $7K liq
100.0%
Jordanresolved

Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?

$27K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
Azerbaijanactive

Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by March 31?

$21K vol · $6K liq
1.1%
resolved

Will Iran strike Israel in March?

$19K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
Qatarresolved

Will Iran strike Qatar again in March?

$9K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
Israelresolved

Will Iran strike Israel again in March?

$5K vol · $0 liq
100.0%
Ukraineactive

Will Iran strike Ukraine by March 31?

$5K vol · $6K liq
1.1%
Germanyactive

Will Iran strike Germany by March 31?

$4K vol · $7K liq
0.6%
Franceactive

Will Iran strike France by March 31?

$3K vol · $3K liq
1.5%
Italyactive

Will Iran strike Italy by March 31?

$1K vol · $4K liq
0.7%
Georgiaactive

Will Iran strike Georgia by March 31?

$1K vol · $4K liq
1.1%
Hungaryactive

Will Iran strike Hungary by March 31?

$919 vol · $4K liq
0.6%
Armeniaactive

Will Iran strike Armenia by March 31?

$875 vol · $4K liq
2.1%
resolved

Will Iran strike Iraq in March?

$0 vol · $0 liq
100.0%
resolved

Will Iran strike Kuwait in March?

$0 vol · $0 liq
100.0%
Kuwaitresolved

Will Iran strike Kuwait again in March?

$0 vol · $0 liq
100.0%
resolved

Will Iran strike Bahrain in March?

$0 vol · $0 liq
100.0%
resolved

Will Iran strike UAE in March?

$0 vol · $0 liq
100.0%
Saudi Arabiaresolved

Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia again in March?

$0 vol · $0 liq
100.0%
resolved

Will Iran strike Jordan in March?

$0 vol · $0 liq
100.0%
resolved

Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?

$0 vol · $0 liq
100.0%
resolved

Will Iran strike Jordan in March?

$0 vol · $0 liq
100.0%
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