0x008c67...899aca

Smart Score

Win Rate

73.1%

Total P&L

-$21

Trade Count

205

Sharpe Ratio

1.20

Sortino Ratio

1.39

Max Drawdown

418.7%

ROI

-1.7%

Profit Factor

0.64

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	0.44	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.5¢	3.92	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	98.5¢	6.74	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	76.3¢	5.911	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	98.8¢	1.68	Mar 4
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	83.0¢	12.41	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	69.0¢	15.31	Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	94.3¢	4.68	Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	94.3¢	0.24	Mar 4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	BUY	81.0¢	1.926	Mar 4
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	83.0¢	0.21	Mar 4
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	82.0¢	0.83	Mar 4
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	82.0¢	2.14	Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	92.0¢	3.239	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	94.5¢	5.735	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	94.5¢	1.651	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	72.3¢	11.314	Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	93.4¢	3.426	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	75.0¢	3.347	Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.6¢	0.15	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.07

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.6%

Win Consistency67.9%

Profit Factor0.50

Drawdown Resilience0.41

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41

Weekly Sharpe est.0.31

Trading Activity205 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$3472d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue