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0x053BA19e500a961AABE8F432082025436b13D0Fa-1771097284737

0x053ba1...13d0fa
Smart Score
31
Win Rate
33.6%
Total P&L
+$109
Trade Count
305
Sharpe Ratio
0.98
Sortino Ratio
11.20
Max Drawdown
161.8%
ROI
20.3%
Profit Factor
1.83
Kelly Fraction
0.152
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
031.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 5?BUY0.8¢130Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 5?BUY11.0¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 5?BUY28.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 5?BUY1.7¢100Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 5?BUY3.2¢58Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 5?BUY9.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 5?BUY9.0¢6.66Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 4?SELL0.1¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 4?SELL0.2¢15Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 4?BUY6.0¢4.06Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 4?BUY6.0¢1.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 4?BUY6.0¢3Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 4?BUY6.0¢5.17Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 4?BUY6.0¢5.17Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 4?BUY6.0¢1.1Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 4?BUY25.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 4?BUY29.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 4?BUY41.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 4?BUY29.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 4?BUY41.0¢5Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%47%< 10%13%10–20%8%20–30%24%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.73
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.6%
Win Consistency54.8%
Profit Factor0.82
Drawdown Resilience0.66
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66
Weekly Sharpe est.0.50
Trading Activity305 trades · 19 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1222d profit17d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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