0x09a3a17a8b7B2CA5dbc95086D00F227c8467DBc2-1770969829607

0x09a3a1...67dbc2

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.8%

Total P&L

-$8

Trade Count

166

Sharpe Ratio

-1.59

Sortino Ratio

-1.37

Max Drawdown

1582.0%

ROI

-0.6%

Profit Factor

0.55

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

01.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.1¢	5.203	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	62.0¢	16.12	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.8¢	7.23	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.8¢	7.231	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	62.0¢	16.129	Mar 4
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	BUY	95.0¢	5.263	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	93.3¢	8.55	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	80.0¢	11.39	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	79.0¢	11.392	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	93.5¢	8.556	Mar 4
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)	BUY	97.0¢	7.216	Mar 4
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	95.7¢	7.29	Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	58.2¢	12	Mar 4
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	95.9¢	7.299	Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	58.3¢	12.007	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	60.0¢	16.66	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.0¢	7.29	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	72.0¢	8.57	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	70.0¢	8.571	Mar 3
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	SELL	96.0¢	8.34	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing1.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.08

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.3%

Win Consistency39.2%

Profit Factor0.04

Drawdown Resilience0.03

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.03

Weekly Sharpe est.0.02

Trading Activity166 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$2643d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue