0x10fb53...9429bf

Smart Score

Win Rate

9.1%

Total P&L

-$21

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

7.19

Sortino Ratio

116.37

Max Drawdown

127.3%

ROI

-16.2%

Profit Factor

0.03

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	0.1¢	3,520	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	0.1¢	3,560	Mar 5
Will Iran strike five countries in March?	BUY	0.1¢	4,190	Mar 4
Will Iran strike six countries in March?	BUY	0.2¢	2,135.071	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	99.5¢	2.59	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	1,348	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	81.0¢	31.95	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?	BUY	0.5¢	1,348	Mar 4
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	13.0¢	58.692	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	84.0¢	15.976	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	84.0¢	15.976	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	84.0¢	15.976	Mar 4
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	0.7¢	743.75	Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	2.2¢	251.66	Mar 4
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	0.8¢	743.75	Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	2.4¢	251.667	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	BUY	77.8¢	2.596	Mar 3
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	2.8¢	37.143	Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	1.7¢	88.788	Mar 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.42

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.6%

Win Consistency54.5%

Profit Factor0.67

Drawdown Resilience0.54

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue