0x11f722...a61f11

Smart Score

Win Rate

84.6%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.83

Sortino Ratio

0.90

Max Drawdown

49.0%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

2.08

Kelly Fraction

0.439

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

047.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	18.6	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.3¢	31	Feb 13
Will China join the Board of Peace?	BUY	98.9¢	30	Feb 13
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 2, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	25	Feb 2
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	30	Feb 2
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.6¢	26	Feb 2
Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	35	Feb 2
U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?	BUY	97.9¢	30	Jan 30
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?	SELL	98.9¢	31	Jan 29
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?	BUY	95.0¢	10	Jan 21
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	BUY	99.1¢	20	Jan 21
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?	BUY	96.9¢	31	Jan 21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	27	Jan 21
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?	BUY	99.7¢	28	Jan 21

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing47.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.60

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.0%

Win Consistency76.9%

Profit Factor1.23

Drawdown Resilience0.99

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.99

Weekly Sharpe est.0.76

Trading Activity14 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$3071d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue