0x132c3a...337295

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.9%

Total P&L

-$98

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.55

Sortino Ratio

2.97

Max Drawdown

273.8%

ROI

-4.4%

Profit Factor

0.67

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

017.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Nate Morris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	SELL	35.1¢	58	Mar 4
Will Nate Morris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	SELL	35.0¢	7	Mar 4
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?	SELL	1.3¢	24	Mar 4
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?	BUY	84.0¢	181	Mar 4
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?	SELL	1.4¢	50	Mar 4
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?	BUY	85.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Nate Morris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	BUY	35.8¢	65.978	Mar 4
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?	BUY	1.7¢	269	Mar 4
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?	SELL	91.0¢	309	Mar 4
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?	BUY	91.0¢	309	Mar 3
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?	SELL	83.0¢	15	Feb 27
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?	SELL	79.0¢	14	Feb 25
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	SELL	65.0¢	10	Feb 25
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	SELL	59.0¢	15	Feb 19
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	SELL	59.0¢	5	Feb 19
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	SELL	59.0¢	12	Feb 19
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	SELL	61.0¢	8	Feb 19
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	SELL	63.0¢	13	Feb 19
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	BUY	59.9¢	67.15	Feb 18
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?	BUY	81.8¢	101.432	Feb 16

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing17.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.97

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.0%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor0.46

Drawdown Resilience0.37

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.37

Weekly Sharpe est.0.28

Trading Activity49 trades · 22 active days

P&L Calendar

$7439d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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