0x165c22...0f6c0d

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.7%

Total P&L

+$3

Trade Count

337

Sharpe Ratio

-0.49

Sortino Ratio

-0.51

Max Drawdown

11809.2%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

1.19

Kelly Fraction

0.106

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	94.5¢	8.582	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	94.5¢	6.317	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	94.5¢	6.317	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	94.2¢	6.338	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	7.44	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	90.0¢	7.611	Mar 2
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	90.0¢	6.611	Mar 2
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	90.0¢	6.611	Mar 2
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	90.0¢	6.611	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	51.0¢	50.54	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	37.0¢	50.541	Feb 24
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	BUY	98.2¢	19.582	Feb 23
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	SELL	54.0¢	2.16	Feb 23
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	88.0¢	2.16	Feb 23
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.7¢	6.49	Feb 23
Will Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	SELL	99.3¢	5.4	Feb 23

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.44

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.3%

Win Consistency41.3%

Profit Factor0.21

Drawdown Resilience0.17

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.17

Weekly Sharpe est.0.13

Trading Activity337 trades · 34 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,07010d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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