0x17eFbF4Efde1cBA442352CD60BDA151076c883a8-1742918759652

0x17efbf...c883a8

Smart Score

Win Rate

90.2%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

117

Sharpe Ratio

0.21

Sortino Ratio

0.18

Max Drawdown

192.5%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

2.10

Kelly Fraction

0.472

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	94.5¢	1.175	Mar 5
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	41.8¢	32.11	Feb 27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	44.5¢	18.562	Feb 20
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	44.5¢	13.551	Feb 20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	71.6¢	11.88	Feb 18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	75.8¢	11.884	Feb 11
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	68.0¢	7.52	Feb 3
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	BUY	67.4¢	7.522	Jan 27
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.2¢	4.06	Jan 23
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	95.5¢	4.063	Jan 16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	SELL	94.8¢	5.63	Jan 13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	96.9¢	5.635	Jan 6
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	SELL	98.3¢	4.19	Dec 26
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	BUY	96.7¢	4.199	Dec 19
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	BUY	98.4¢	8.283	Dec 12
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	SELL	95.2¢	4.84	Dec 8
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	BUY	90.4¢	4.845	Dec 1
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	SELL	94.9¢	2.3	Nov 24
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	BUY	96.5¢	2.301	Nov 17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	SELL	97.6¢	6.82	Nov 12

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.55

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.7%

Win Consistency68.2%

Profit Factor0.73

Drawdown Resilience0.59

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59

Weekly Sharpe est.0.45

Trading Activity56 trades · 55 active days

P&L Calendar

$2025d profit30d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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